Jeff Berardelli

This is the convoluted pattern brining cool crisp air into Florida today. A big persistent block contorting the pattern. It may last into next week. But it’s such a tough pattern to predict, all bets are off after 5 days.

The historic May #Europe #heatwave has propelled #Mediterranean temperatures into record territory with spots up to 6°C/ 11°F above normal with an ongoing Marine heatwave underway… 1/

Relief for Rover!! If your dog is like mine, she’s sluggish in the sweltering heat, but for Millie and the others a very rare break is coming Thursday! Dewpoints will drop 15-20° - 50s from ~Tampa/ Orlando north - that’s really really dry for June! 1/

Hurricane season starts today. Here’s why we expect it to be a quieter than normal year in the Atlantic. The relatively hotter East Pacific due to a Super El Niño overpowers the near waters of the Atlantic. Rising air, thunderstorms and hurricanes in the East Pacific should subdue the Caribbean… 1/

A rare break in Florida’s sweltering humidity by late week! The tropical moisture originally poised to hit Florida is being shoved towards Texas instead. That means, after a very muggy start to the week, very low humidity for summer arrives in Florida by Thursday. But it also blocks our downpours.

Watch as a very odd and amplified pattern Omega Block pattern torments forecasters and everyone in its way for the next two weeks! Winter 🥶 in summer in the Northeast! Tropical moisture poised for #Florida but instead shoved into the western Gulf!… 1/

The Western European heatwave was so deviant for May it’s almost impossible to count all the records. Here’s a last 7-day review of all the records neared, tied, and broken. The pink are all-time May records! #heatwave #Europe

Could the AMOC really collapse!? A brand new study shows what science has long surmised - decreased poleward heat transport in the Atlantic - a slow down of Earth’s most vital circulation the AMOC - is indeed the cause of the very odd cold blob (warming hole) in the N. Atlantic… 1/

Today we’re kicking it old school, back to the tried and true dust in the wind 💨. It’s that time again to start looking for hurricane killing African Dust - lofted from the Sahara and carried 1000s of miles across the Atlantic. There’s a big batch now just in time to reach us for season in 4 days.

A strong Bermuda high with persistent southerly fetch funnels a plume of tropical moisture north into the Gulf. The main event starts this weekend and persists into next week. The details are fuzzy, but you can bet some folks along the Gulf Coast, from Louisiana to Florida will get 10” in 2 weeks.

Genesis of a Super El Niño! Why do we expect this El Niño to be one of the strongest on record? - A main reason: Huge subsurface heat - exceeding most anything we’ve observed in spring - motoring eastward from the deep Western Tropical Pacific Ocean to the East Pacific and emerging at the surface 1/

🌀 Tropical mischief right as hurricane season begins?! In this video I discuss deepening tropical moisture and the outlook for the upcoming hurricane season with a Super El Niño in the cards. What areas are favored and how will El Niño factor in? #ElNino #hurricane #hurricaneseason #Florida

Deep in extreme drought, #Florida needs a good soaking. Good news: there’s strong model support for a tropical connnection setting up across Florida in about 8-12 days! This should deliver some widespread significant rain to the state… 1/

Record (literally) Heat Dome for May builds over West-Central #Europe the next several days. Peak temperatures will reach 15° above normal in Spain, France and Germany as well as surrounding areas. Maximum temperatures will reach 39°C/ 102°F into next week, with the highest in SW Spain. #heatwave

Drought to Deluge! Developing El Niño gives us an early preview of the pattern for late fall and winter. A strong Subtropical Jetstream will hover near Texas, Louisiana and the lower MS Valley through the next 1-2 weeks… 1/

Audio up! New article on Thwaites Glacier in Antarctica today claims that the ice shelf is deteriorating much faster now leading the team at the British Antarctic Survey to write an obituary for it… 1/

Big Heatwave invades the East through Midweek! Temps 30° above normal in spots. 100s of heat records, night and day are in jeopardy! Could hit 95 along the I95 corridor! Most of the record heat is focused on the northern half of the US. #heatwave #hot

Rainy season starts with a bang this weekend! Watch as the rain piles up day by day. A little at first Saturday, then widespread downpours Sunday and Monday afternoon. Up to 3” in some lucky locations! ⛈️ #rain #storm #florida

With a Strong El Niño imminent, concern grows for life on the Galapagos. El Niño is a natural cyclical phenomenon but it can be devastating to the #Galápagos Islands. In the 1982-83 event 77% of the penguin population did not survive… 1/

Early rainy season! Like the flip of a switch, rainy season will begin as early as this weekend. In some cases 1-2 weeks early. And boy do we need it. You know… hot/ humid days, daily thunderstorms, doesn’t end for 5 months… ughhh. Here’s the details on what wet season means and what to expect.

Flip the rainy season switch! A sight for sore eyes, as FL has endured the worst drought in decades. After a brief dry break Friday, the models consistently show a rapid surge in moisture and a rapid start to wet season.. 1/

Wait for it… Huge humidity break coming to #Florida late week! Dewpoints drop 25° in spots going from the mid 70s to near 50° on Friday. Very rare refreshing air for May in #florida BUT sorry it comes with NO real #cool down.

Will we be a witness to El Niño history? It’s very possible! Every new model run exceeds our expectation for the “potential” strength of this upcoming El Niño event. The vast majority of models say a “Super” El Niño is coming. This video focuses on the huge impact on Galapagos life (penguins) 1/

Keep the mom’s cool this weekend! Florida is Baking under a heat dome through Day. The combo of heat and humidity will drive feels like temps over 100° in many spots! A preview of summer… although a touch of drier air will make things more comfortable by midweek. Happy Mother’s Day to all moms!

The strongest El Niño in 150 years? Yes, it’s legitimately possible. Not hype. In fact, the “median” forecast for December of all of our computer models combined is slightly “above” the biggest event we know of back in 1877… 1/

2027 will almost certainly be the warmest year on record for Earth - by a long shot - and perhaps even 2026 may reach a record too. That’s due to the big boost of heat released from El Niño, on top of the long term warming… 1/

Drought relief for millions as a hulking heatwave in the Pacific powers a rare May subtropical jetstream across the South. That means heavy rain in the Southeast and potential severe weather in #Florida This subtropical jet is an early preview.. 1/

Heads up! Severe Sunday on tap for #Florida? It’s possible. A rare set-up for typically bone-dry early May. Double jet, with an invigorated subtropical jetstream fed by record warm Pacific waters - and a tropical connection, as well as a suppressed polar jetstream from a huge Canadian storm… 1/

Big El Nino’s have a big impact on hurricane season!! So, what does this upcoming Strong El Niño mean for Hurricane Season? Here I take a short, in-depth look how the strongest El Nino’s changed the Atlantic hurricane season. You’ll be surprised how big a difference it makes!! #ElNino #Hurricane

Huge Pacific Heatwave - larger than North America - with record heat spanning 6,000 miles across, peaking in the East Pacific. The highest anomalies are near the Galápagos Islands, a clear sign a mighty El Niño is beginning. 1/

Science alert: 3D view of ongoing fires & smoke plumes explain why the smell of smoke is usually more potent in the morning. The US is off to its fastest fire season since at least 2012. Several large fires 🔥 are burning across Florida and Georgia. But wait, there’s more… 1/

The #1 worst spring drought, so far, on record in US history! That’s where we find ourselves today. 100% of the Southeast is in #drought, 70% of the US, and 3/4 of #Florida in “extreme” drought. Lack or rain and the #1 warmest US year on record to date is how we got here…

The core of the #heatwave heads south and hits hardest on Friday & Saturday in Florida. It was 90 in NYC, Philly and DC yesterday. So what can we expect, how does this heatwave measure up to others in April and what’s the hottest it can get in April? Here’s the scoop… #florida