Justin Wolfers
@justinwolfers
"If what you want is rate cuts, here's the thing you don't do. You don't go and bomb a country in the Middle East upsetting global energy markets and pushing prices up across the board."
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More from Justin Wolfers
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Here’s the thing—especially on April 15: cutting the IRS isn't some abstract budget trim. It's a tax cut delivered through weaker enforcement. And it mostly goes to people with the...
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Sen. Warren: "Did Donald Trump lose the 2020 election?" Handsome Kevin: "ummm... errr... " His response raises real questions about whether Warsh is independent of the President a...
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"You can't say the cost of a puppy is $200 because that was the adoption fee." The Pentagon's $25B price tag does exactly that — it ignores veterans' care, disability payments, and...
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Announcing: Platypus Economics — a Substack, YouTube channel, and podcast built around one idea: Economics is one of the most useful, surprising, and weirdly beautiful subjects in...
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Optimism is not a policy tool. If there’s no clear timeline for resolution, energy markets will price in uncertainty. And uncertainty is costly because firms can’t plan and househo...
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Two things can be true at once: private credit isn't identical to 2008-era shadow banking, and some of the same vulnerabilities may be creeping back. Similar enough to inspect closely.
Bottom line: the issue isn't only what Iran can do. It's that everyone now knows what Iran can do. Revealed vulnerability changes bargaining power.
"The big story right now is oil. The next story is food." That's the transmission channel people miss: if fertilizer is "caught on the wrong side of the Strait of Hormuz," food prices can be next.
AI isn’t the whole story, but it matters. Some sectors are still doing very well, and markets are weighted toward firms whose profits may hold up or improve. The economy is broader than one headline.
Private credit is the bit of finance that’s not banks and not public bond markets, but is now big enough to matter for everyone else. Translation: a lot of business lending migrated somewhere less visible.
Two things can be true at once: the U.S. is more energy independent than in the 1970s, and an energy shock can still raise inflation. Independence isn’t immunity.
A B+ economy with a recession-sized deficit is like showing up to a Sunday barbecue in full scuba gear. Technically you’re dressed, but something doesn't add up.
When politicians zoom in from the whole economy to one carton of eggs, that's not a macro forecast. That's culinary cherry-picking.
Wall Street is basically my mum with a report card: expected a D, got a C, called it progress.
🌟 Unexpected surprise of the day: I found a $100 bill on my way to work! Talk about a lucky find! 💸😄 Have you ever stumbled upon a hidden treasure like this? Share your story in the comments! Let’s celebrate the little joys and unexpected wins together. #LuckyFind #HiddenTreasure #GoodFortune
"They tell you what they think" Andy Maciver suggests that Reform UK and the @scottishgreens.org have an unusual similarity... that being that they actually answer questions.
You ACTUALLY have power to stop them! There wouldn’t be huge marketing campaigns to confuse people and divide them if you didn’t! #veganism #climatecrisis #antiracism #antihomophobia #savetheworld
At faceless, we use AI & advanced analytics to give early warnings about health threats before they escalate. It's the world's first global early-warning system based on anonymous data. 💡 Stay ahead, act fast, and save lives. 🔗 Create your profile at: myfaceless.com ✨ Learn more: myfaceless.info
Hey @boghogstg.bsky.social, just wanted to say that I'm loving the MECHANICAL STAR ASTRA demo! Really enjoy the pace, music, feel & simple gameplay. Very ASMR. Looking forward to supporting further developments. Cheers!
Getting Direct Feedback... | Listen UP Ep 14 - Kirsten Horsburgh - Listen Now! Real insight comes from those living it right now. Hear how services shaped by lived experience create support that actually works for recovery. Kirsten Horsburgh of SDF explains. LISTEN - lk2.app/luep14
"Fauci’s boss, Francis Collins, didn’t receive an autopen pardon, so he also is fair game."
Unser „Wofür“ - Wir wollen #Gerechtigkeitslücken im Steuersystem endlich schließen. Heute ca. 17:05 Uhr im Plenum des Deutschen Bundestages!
For a long time, our culture trained people to dismiss intuition. But consciousness has always been worth studying. Your instincts. Your awareness. Your ability to sense patterns. These are not weaknesses. They are part of being… #intuition #consciousness #selftrust #spiritualawakening #solarsage
The USA society will collapse if everyone could see everything in those files. Let that sink in & think about it.. he’s connected to the highest levels of government & so on.
There will always be corruption, what is interesting though is how things like Polymarket betting around Trump announcements never seem to attract the same level of scrutiny or outrage. He was, the 2nd most powerful man in Ukraine 🇺🇦
The Academy just made it clear... Performances must be done by real actors w their consent, & screenplays have to be written by humans to qualify for major awards. Al can't replace the people behind the work. It's not a ban on Al... it's a line being drawn on what still counts as human storytelling.
Le FRQ, de concert avec le MELCCFP, est fier de lancer le 3e concours du Programme de recherche en partenariat sur la réduction des sources de contamination atmosphérique et sonore. 📅 Date limite : 22 avril 2026 ➡️ Les détails : https://tinyurl.com/2zbcs239
Want more nail clients? Fix these 3 things: • No website • No consistency • Not on Google We handle everything for you. 📲 WhatsApp +447947172627 📅 https://www.pagecrowd.co.uk/pages/lets-talk #ukbusiness #nailtech #marketingstrategy
🗣️ “Our European partners have been calling us laggards for a long time,” 🗣️ “They’re giving people incentives to put solar panels on their roof… we’re giving absolute pittance,” @michaelcindtd.bsky.social | #TonightVMTV
This firefighter revives a cat using life-saving techniques during a fire. Regardless of species, anyone who saves a life is a hero.
if nothing changed, where would you be one year from now? #Jazz 🎼 ebonyqushae.bandcamp.com/track/time-i...
UAW workers built Oakland County. In Congress, I’ll have their backs. #uaw #mi11
Voici Gravastar, un RPG science-fantasy d'inspiration japonaise qui vient d'être annoncé. Et le trailer donne sacrément envie ! Un jeu indépendant en développement depuis 10 ans, qui sortira sur PC, PS5, Xbox Series et Switch 2
“I wasn’t attracted to American cinema, but I fell in love with Los Angeles the minute I arrived.”―Agnès Varda
@meidastouch.com The world sees Trump Ballroom MAGA Republicans destroying the party from within. Hypocrisy: Trump believes he's entitled to tell other countries what to do yet he's not free himself. He's owned by Bibi & lives in Putin & Xi's shadows like he did w/ Cohn, Casablancas, & Epstein.
Impeach Trump. Contact your representative. house.gov/representatives/find-your-representative
#TomodachiLifeLivingTheDream Giving @lightbluesquid.bsky.social a cat. 🐈
Get ready to meet plants that bite, burn, and kill… Nature doesn’t hold back, people! #HappyHalloween #WeirdFacts #EcoHorror
🚗Harris County toll roads brings in an approximate $800 million to $1 billion annually from drivers, but how is all that money divvied up? bit.ly/4aoR5BD
das ist #Union #Mathe das können wir Kleingeister nicht verstehen! 🫣 #Bruchrechnung a la #Spahn #CDU
🧠 Happy #MentalHealthAwarenessWeek! Did you know physical fitness can influence your mental wellbeing AND cognitive performance? Explore UCL’s Active Minds research 👇 https://bit.ly/4tppKaq @uclmedsci.bsky.social @theiseh.bsky.social #MentalHealth #UCLMentalHealth
Welcome to the DTH-Lab Annual Report 2025. Celebrating a year where we helped move digital transformations in health to the top of the global agenda. 📘 Read it now: https://tr.ee/Av4bNM
the new stage's theme: Steam Stampede Boss track also available on SoundCloud (and Steam OST release)
Happy Sunday dance 😜😎 #petite #dance #fitgirl #girl #yogashorts #shortshorts #sportygirl #naturalgirl #butt #tight #nicebutt #tightbody
A Norwalk apartment building had to be evacuated due to a big fire that broke out around midnight. This video shared with KCCI shows fire crews battling the flames on top of the building. STORY: https://bit.ly/4eu9rop
Oh, right, it's Star Wars day and stuff. This is all I got. Also, there was nothing wrong with Luke in The Last Jedi. It's called depression and Imposter's Syndrome. #MayTheFourthBeWithYou
"A county full of namesakes, and barely any kin." This week on Alabama Aloud, "Eventide" by Ravi Howard, a story about finding justice in a grim landscape. Listen now: buff.ly/G0m74Z1 #ShortStory #SouthernFiction
In Idlib, Syria, families are coping with the intense winter cold without proper shelter. Our colleague, Osama Joukhadar, coordinated the distribution of heating materials and plastic sheeting to more than 2,000 families in the area. He tells us about this work 👇
HE’S BACK!!! LE CHAMPION!!! THE DEMOGOD!!! THE LEARNING TREE!!! CHRIS JERICHO!!! #chrisjericho #aew #dynamite #aewdynamite #wrestlesky #wrestling #wrestlingalldayallnight
The 2026 headlines are chaotic, but you have a choice: be part of the noise or be the solution. Clients need leaders now more than ever. This is the time to scale by staying consistent and serving people. Choose leadership over chaos. 🏠💪 #Realtor #Leadership #Mortgage
The CHI Papers Explorer is back for #CHI2026! As every year, you can explore all 2,769 papers using semantic search. Type any topic, see papers ranked by relevance, and build your schedule. Try it and please share with everyone heading to Barcelona: johnguerra.co/viz/chi2026P... @chi.acm.org #HCI
Iran has suddenly stopped talking to the US after Donald Trump said they were close to a deal, and it's all because of escalating tensions with Israel in Lebanon. The timing is suspicious, to say the least. Credit: @aaronparnas.bsky.social | Source #IranNews #USIranTensions #MiddleEastConflict
Trump & Secretary Rollins kicked at least 700 thousand CHILDREN off nutrition assistance—and that’s only counting 7 states. Today, she refused to tell me whether she stands by her comment that kicking people off food assistance is “good news.” These people are so cruel.
Have you listened to our newest episode of #HIGNFYE yet? We discuss: Trump's beef with Pope Leo XIV, Trump cosplaying as Jesus AND a doctor, Hungary's election and the U.S.' involvement, news on the Strait of Hormuz and more! Don’t miss an episode! Follow us on Apple, Amazon Music & YouTube!
🇮🇷A survivor of the Minab school in #Iran: God has spared my life so that I may avenge the blood of my friends and restore Iran’s honor. We will rise again and rebuild our school🇮🇷