Justin Wolfers
@justinwolfers
When politicians zoom in from the whole economy to one carton of eggs, that's not a macro forecast. That's culinary cherry-picking.
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Optimism is not a policy tool. If there’s no clear timeline for resolution, energy markets will price in uncertainty. And uncertainty is costly because firms can’t plan and househo...
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Two things can be true at once: private credit isn't identical to 2008-era shadow banking, and some of the same vulnerabilities may be creeping back. Similar enough to inspect closely.
Politicians love visible gestures. Economists ask the annoying follow-up: does it work? On gas tax holidays, the answer was basically no then, and no now.
Some simple economics of the Met Gala: $42 million raised sounds enormous. It is. But economics is about compared with what? If the Met Gala creates far more value for fashion brands than for the museum, then the ticket price is probably too low.
Kevin Warsh once argued for rates that were too high for the economy, and he now seems politically reluctant to contradict Trump. That's a worrying combo. We'll find out soon enough which one shows up to work.
Optimism is not a policy tool. If there’s no clear timeline for resolution, energy markets will price in uncertainty. And uncertainty is costly because firms can’t plan and households can’t budget.
For families and firms, this isn’t academic. If the people steering monetary policy are chosen for cable-news combat rather than analytic clarity, the cost shows up in jobs, prices, and uncertainty.
A lot of AI debate gets stuck on whether the technology is “real.” The more useful question is economic: if it works, who benefits, how fast, and under what rules?
"If we don't have immigration and population growth, the number of people who can pay off that debt just went down." That's the key mechanism.
"Every time the president leans into belligerence... the stock market falls." Markets can’t vote, but they can mark down the price of risk.
새로운 환각제 유사 약물이 환각 없이 우울증을 치료할 수 있다😂 — 환각 없이?😜 www.sciencedaily.com/releases/202... #과학 #물리학 #화학 #생물학 #생태학 #유전학 #신경과학 #생화학 #나노기술 #환경과학 #데이터과학
Trump: "I think the elections are so rigged. And we have to do something about it. And we're gonna do something about it."
Game Boy Advance 25th Anniversary | Colorwind History #ColorwindHistory #gaminghistory #GBA #GameBoyAdvance
Marco Rubio: “Cuba is a national security threat to the US.” This is a blatant lie to manufacture consent for an invasion of Cuba. Cuba is not a threat to the US. The US is the one who is a threat to Cuba as it has strangled the island for decades with an unnecessary embargo.
Let It Be by The Beatles. Happy Election Day! If you live in California, vote yes on 50! If you live in San Francisco, next year, vote for Saikat Chakrabarti! @saikatforcongress.bsky.social #cello #graffiti #california #sf #elections #prop50 #saikatforcongress #artandpolitics
The Federal Death Penalty: 3 Bullets, Shot in the Heart. Trump's Firing Squad: Pro-life, Pro-Death Penalty. Politicians' Lethal Hypocrisy that Cheers on Government Sanctioned, Cold-blooded, Pre-Meditated Murder www.buzzsprout.com/823981/episo...
David Cochrane: "There is a 'Free Barabbas' approach to some of this direct democracy thing."
Mark Carney said Ukraine may be outside NATO’s direct responsibility — but not outside Canada’s values. Canada will keep working with partners, he said, because Ukraine is going to triumph and Canada will be on the right side of history.
Protesters in Nuuk, Greenland, have stopped being silent and are now chanting "Americans go home". King Donald the Mad will say it's Biden's fault.
Making it harder for people to vote—and for their votes to count—is peak loser behavior. Republicans should be embarrassed they have to go to such lengths to win.
We’re walking you step-by-step through lead4ward strategies that get students thinking at every level needed for STAAR success. In-person and virtual sessions available. Learn more: https://lead4ward.com/review-conference/ Jodi Denton, lead4ward Social Studies #STAAR #lead4ward #engaginglearners
Missglückter Start - und jetzt? Vielleicht hilft dir das ❤️ #stillen #flaschenbaby #geburt #abpumpen #stillennachbedarf Ich bringe gerade meine Videos hierher – falls du neu bist, willkommen! 👋
Culers have shown up in Oslo to support Barcelona & are making themselves heard ❤️💙 🎥: FCBfemeni
How Does Texas Property Tax Work? Click the bio link to listen to the full episode. https://bio.link/christejeda #TexasPropertyTax #TaxSystemExplained #RealEstateTax #TexasEconomy #BusinessTaxation #PropertyValuation #ChrisTejeda
More confrontations outside Delaney Hall as ICE goons attack protesters blocking their vehicles. And it looks like someone got hit by the white van. Some folks on the ground said there were detainees in the van. Video clip from Carlos Ramírez Noticias NJ: www.facebook.com/share/v/1HTo...
Come chiudere con stile un match durato 5 ore 😎🇧🇷 #Tennis #RolandGarros #Djokovic #Fonseca
🇮🇪 Comóradh Cásca Chontae Mhuineacháin 2026 🇮🇪 Thank you to everyone delivering our Easter newsletter across Monaghan — featuring those with local connections to the 1916 Rising. Caith do lile na Cásca le bród ✊🇮🇪 Join us Easter Sunday, 5th April, 3pm 📍 Church Square → Latlurcan Cemetery
Seri Yamaoka’s shoulder injury came from simply landing wrong on a routine dropkick. Just a freak accident. Incredibly unfortunate and frustrating. #山岡聖怜 #pw_mg
Alex Poyner Art "Based in London and inspired by little harbours, racing yachts, and rolling countryside, Alex creates bold contemporary screen-prints full of movement, colour, and coastal character." www.alexpoyner.com (You might want to turn down the vol. The squeegee screeches are harsh) #art
Nach etwas über 2 Jahren, ist die #erstauflage der #sippenhaft fast #ausverkauft In #zusammenarbeit mit dem #hamburger #label STERBT ALLE gibts nun eine #nachpressung 300 Stück in 2 Farbversionen. Dazu gibt’s #absofort eine #diycut Version von #arschlecken auf dem #bwb YT-Kanal. Viel Spaß beim 👂&👁️!
One of the wildest conclusions in #AEWCollision history saw the Conglomeration and Death Riders... fighting the same enemies? AND NIGEL POPPING PEOPLE! What the hell just happened?
UGH.. I got 2 different PokeHub offers for the same card from 2 different people.. and I canceled the wrong one in the PokeHub app -.- Hopefully the trade completes in-game for the 1st offer. I apologize profusely to both parties. I feel badly for the mix-up.
Raúl Leiva, diputado PS: "Cuando Kast entienda que no está en campaña, sino que le corresponde gobernar, vamos a dar un paso adelante"
This man was arrested in London for racially aggravated assault of a Muslim woman who was just standing nearby. He was started calling her a dirty F’ing Muslim & when another woman stepped in to help he told her he’s an IDF soldier & got in her face then a huge guy stopped him.
World War II could have been prevented. But nobody except Stalin really wanted to stop Hitler. Not badly enough.
Connor dancing to the song ‘I Say a Little Prayer’ at Hopeless Romantic Books Merch Meet & Greet in Toronto/2025
That one time my #JUUL died at my grandmother’s… obvi I had to make a charger… duhhh… awe, I was so ~cute 🙅🏻♀️ not knowing what “Contacts” were, literally referred to them as “squares” 😭🤧🤧🤧🫣🫣🫣🫣🫣🥸🥸 This was the only reason I triple majored adding Electrical Engineering 🤓🔧 Okay, back to the books!📚..✌️
repost @victor_wong_art_tech on IG This week is all about NASA’s Artemis II Moon Mission. Surprisingly, my AI robot ink painting exhibition ‘Far Side of the Moon’ (which uses topographic data from NASA) in London in 2019 still looks fresh today 😍😊🤗 #robot #moon #inkpainting #london #hongkong
Weidel bietet Minderheitsregierung ohne Merz an: Die #AfD sei bereit, über die Duldung einer Minderheitsregierung zu sprechen, um die dringendsten Probleme im Land anzupacken. Weidel fügte hinzu, es versteht sich von selbst, daß der Kanzler dann nicht Friedrich Merz heißen kann...🔽
Former DOGE staffer Justin Fox testified that his job at the National Endowment for the Humanities (NEH) was flagging grants tied to “DEI” so they could be canceled under Trump’s executive order. One problem: he admitted he didn’t actually know what DEI meant! #ProudBlue 📹: 404 Media/TT & IG
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Pra início de conversa, Yani Neko é um mangá...estranho. Acompanha o dia-a-dia da Yani, uma gata humanóide lindando com a dependência extrema de cigarros e das amigas viciadas. E falo sério quando digo >viciadas<. O típico "parece fofo, mas é trágico". O tom cômico vai dar o que falar.
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"L'ancien monde a une nouvelle voix..." 🌌フランス A fresh conversation on a scratched record. "Lézarde" fractures the routine of modern streaming feeds with pure, independent French synth-pop melancholia