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Kautious

@kautious.com

Trump has won at least 10 Iran wars this year. 🤷‍♂️ If Mexico is ruled by cartels, is the US ruled by Israel?

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Bottom line: risk appetite is alive, led by semis, lower oil and lower yields—but the market is still fragile around 750 $SPY, Iran headlines, consumer-demand cracks, bank integration risk and crowded AI-memory leadership.

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Bottom line: the tape is rewarding operating leverage and resilience, but punishing weak quality, reserve stress, unresolved geopolitics, and execution risk.

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Mexico has become a bigger issue for America. A neighbor that has become an electoral autocracy and now a narco state is a dangerous combo. 🤷‍♀️

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Kautious

Trump yelling at Iran’s Supreme Leader over uranium like the world needs another season of Two Old Men, One Nuclear Crisis. I’m tired of the chaos. Can we get one boring week where nobody threatens World War III before lunch?

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The Massie race can make or break this country. 🤷‍♂️

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I guess the narco president is having second thoughts. Sheinbaum turned out the most corrupt and desastrous Mexican president. From growing an electoral autocracy (v-dem) to protecting indicted friends, her legacy is a shame for Mexico.

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Kautious

Mexico is now a mafia state that keeps centralizing power. As an electoral autocracy, Sheinbaum just keeps playing with the US while grabbing more power, destroying independent institutions, controlling the judiciary, and now going for elections and censorship.

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The new $250 Trump bill is perfect: Front: Trump falling asleep. Back: “Blame the Fed.” Value: whatever he says it is. Inflation adjustment: already worthless. Finally, a currency that naps through the crisis it created.

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How do we get this approved through Congress? 🤷‍♂️

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Walking away now is the right move after falling into this trap war. Cutting the losses and managing propaganda is the next step. 🤷‍♂️

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If this is what they do to Westerners in public, imagine what they do to Palestinians away from cameras in prisons? 😡😡

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So does SUCCUMB Stop fighting donOld and yield to the inevitable.

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