I am a very serious economist with very serious thoughts about the future of the United States.

Think of an oil shock like a stone tossed in a pond. First splash: gasoline. Then the ripples: airfares, delivery costs, packaging, groceries, construction materials.⁣ ⁣ The ripples are real. Just give them a moment to spread.

The problem with a gas tax holiday? Lower gas prices encourage more driving.⁣ ⁣ If the goal is relief, send checks based on last year's gas spending instead. Similar help for households, without increasing demand.

Private credit is like plumbing behind the drywall — the water still flows, but you lose the gauges. You might not notice the slow leak until the ceiling stains appear. That's the trade-off worth understanding.

Optimism is not a policy tool. If there’s no clear timeline for resolution, energy markets will price in uncertainty. And uncertainty is costly because firms can’t plan and households can’t budget.

A terrific sign for business confidence is when "not wiping civilizations off the map" counts as good news. Low bar. Somehow still doing limbo under it.

Private credit now wants retail money: because apparently the lesson from finance was, 'What if we made shadow banking available in family size?'

The important macroeconomic question isn't: Have charges against Powell been dropped? It's this: Can the next Fed chair make an unpopular decision without fear of jail? The President has made no promises he won't jail the next guy, so no, the Fed isn't independent.

Opportunity cost is Econ 101 with real stakes: the cost of a choice is not just dollars spent, but what you gave up. For war, that means not only destruction, but all the prosperity that never gets a chance to exist.

A B+ economy with a recession-sized deficit is like showing up to a Sunday barbecue in full scuba gear. Technically you’re dressed, but something doesn't add up.

regarding the Google Changes trend, I have a genuine question for everybody displaying false outrage Why be performative?

A Brandon Nimmo Gold Glove was not something I had on my bingo card in 2026. In other news, Dave Raymond continues to underwhelm on nearly every spectacular OF catch we’ve witnessed this season.

RT @WBRZweather: Parts of LSU's campus seeing high water today following the storm

For women athletes: "The largest factor determining performance has always been access and opportunity.”

АНІГІЛЯЦІЯ

1 BIG QUESTION 🙋‍♂️ Presented by @telus Does Mathieu Choinière's penchant for set pieces give him an edge when it comes to earning minutes at this summer's tournament for the CanMNT 🇨🇦?

Palantir is the Big Brother Orwell warned us about. Listen: https://loom.ly/Kq5hBwI #oligarchy #dictatorship #dictatortrump

There’s more than one way to say “Iran.” And according to linguists, those differences can carry meaning, from political identity to how closely a speaker aligns with native pronunciation.

If RFK truly cared about our kid’s health and well-being, he would get the administration to keep ICE OUT of schools and child care centers and away from children.

Why high-achievers secretly struggle in love… High Performer / Love And Success / Interdependence / Relationship Advice / Vulnerability In Love / Self Awareness / Soulmate Connection / Personal Growth / Emotional Intelligence / Let Love In

Get to know our rookies! 🧐📚 #BCLions | @CanadianTire

We had a warm and inspiring night at yesterday's #fundraiser organised by Calliope Mermuse. It was full of community, love, and stunning performances from Kofi Achina, Kaia Allen-Bevan, Isolde, OCARINA, Erin James, Soph and Space Pixiee ❤️ At @daltonsbrighton.bsky.social #Brighton #MutualAid

It's official. WA's Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez has gone full blown bananas. Let's not forget she voted to fund ICE and have them strip search kids under 12. Support independent antifascist news. Become a donor of $7, 10, or $25 now at Ko-Fi.com/throughthestatic or Venmo @ saundershannah

Best Dressed at the Oscar's goes to - WILD TURKEY!

‘Rich Dicks’ was as close as he got

Climate skeptics will often reference Al Gore’s statement in 2009 about an ice free Arctic. Gore was closer than most people realize. #climatechange #climateaction #factcheck #science #STEM

Bhí lúcháir orainn Fáinní Gaeilge a bhronnadh ar dhaltaí rang a sé i Scoil Náisiúnta Cheárach, le tacaíocht ó Chill Dara le Gaeilge agus ó Chonradh na Gaeilge, mar chuid de Scéim na bhFáinní 2026. Tuilleadh eolas @ https://tinyurl.com/55tz5xwk #CillDara #DoChomhairle #ScéimnabhFáinní

lol he thinks he's Mox #AEWDoN

"The hostages made us meet who we are, and who we want to be". Ilana Dayan talks about the defining role of the hostages for the nation of Israel and its people.

A família Bolsonaro precisa ser w extirpada da política brasileira! #famíliabolsonaronacadeia #bolsonarosnacadeia #flaviobolsonarocorrupto #cadeiaparaosbolsonaro #Bolsomaster

Saka taken down in the box… VAR - no penalty #Arsenal #COYG #AFC #Gunners #EPL #PremierLeague #ARSBUR

Доброго ранку, всім вільним людям!

Following a great throw from Daoud down the sideline, the defense holds strong to force a turnover on downs. Great plays against the run from DE Kenyon Garner and LB Hector Chavez (shown below). #FAU #CFB

Trump on his return from Arlington National Cemetery spent 6 whole minutes scrutinizing a column under the North Portico. Is it another dementia moment or is he planning another of his “projects”?

Happy New Year!

AI Professional Certification_ The Future of Intelligence | Ekascloud https://youtube.com/shorts/yt1VarOkWuc Reach us https://ekascloud.com/ekaspromo/cloud-training +919345171232 +447405103328 +91 8148032252 #ArtificialIntelligence #TechCertification #Ekascloud #AITraining #IntelligentTech

But I had my chance to call him on his bullshit ✊🏾

Someone needs to check on her

VTuber's Got That Clown Rizz Would you want to see us do a clown girl ASMR video together? 🎬 tyru_kin

I’ve represented this community for most of my career, and I’m proud of the change we’ve made together. From passing Utah’s nondiscrimination law, to fixing our homeless services system. This race isn’t about noise. It’s about impact.

Iran-mother and son sheltering while us-Israel drop bombs. The US and Israel are rogue states, committing atrocities around the globe funded by us taxpayers . When will the people say no more ? #usa #iranwar

Se nos caen los mitos... 🐉 Ramontxu, querido, ¿«lo que se aprende en los toros no te lo da nada más en la vida»? ¿Te refieres al sufrimiento y la tortura gratuita? Ay, Ramontxu, Ramontxu, qué mal envejecer tenéis algunos...👇😆

The argan tree and its landscapes contribute to food security, nutrition, and the livelihoods of rural communities. 🌿 In 2018, the Argan-based system in Morocco was recognized as a @fao.org Globally Important Agricultural Heritage System. #ArganiaDay #AgiculturalHeritage #GIAHS

Hey everyone my name is Samuel Weidenhofer— thank you for the support ❤️ Just a reminder that this is my only official account. If you see other accounts pretending to be me, please don’t share personal info or trust messages from them. Always check for updates here first. #fyp #trending #today #usa

Shark inside swimming net- it was probably more nervous about the person filming it! #shark #sharknet #manly #sydney #comms

🚨| ¡INCREIBLE! José María Balcázar Zelada, elegido hoy nuevo presidente interino de Perú, cuando le preguntaron sobre la ley que prohiba que menores de edad se puedan casar: "De 14 para arriba no hay ningún impedimento, todos tienen relaciones sexuales, eso está bien" . #MSinTapujosTV

HAITÍ 🚨| El máster en Sociología Carlos Segura afirmó que Haití representa 'el experimento que fracasó', al referirse al profundo colapso institucional, económico y social que atraviesa ese país: www.youtube.com/live/OEKae2c...

Working on a quick short fmv sequence for the ending. #indiedev #screenshotsaturday

What up Culture! We finally made it to the end of the Premier League season and we are hanging in a VERY packed Brewhouse in Little 5 Points! We would tell y'all to pull up but..... nah its way too much for that lol Where are y'all watching today?? #epl #ggmu #coyg

According to the NYT Donald Trump is privately discussing firing Pam Bondi. @dawokefarmer.bsky.social

Hey Illinois Democrats, happy Election Day! We have an important message for you from DPI Chair Hernandez — make sure to get out and vote before polls close at 7PM!

The OG vampire people don’t really talk about. Peter Nygård built a fashion empire while hiding decades of abuse & exploitation. As well as a strong obsession with the DNA of Black Women, stem cells & staying young. 🧛‍♀️ #PeterNygard #StemCell #Unseemly #NygardCay #EpsteinFiles

Making sure Indigenous people don't get in the way. Just a few hours after the Goori Camp Embassy was removed in darkness by police, Queensland Premier David Crisafulli falsely claims Barrambin was a golf course for most of its life. #qldpol

Inti Creates announced Gunvolt Chronicles Luminous Avenger iX 3 for Switch 2 and PC. Release date is 2027.

Seven Delaware districts held school board elections Tuesday, and in races that can determine students' scholastic outcomes, voters often opted for transparency-minded newcomers over incumbents. More from the polls, here: https://ow.ly/CQKh50YZ34a

the primaries requesting a seafood lunch and then getting mad when they received a seafood lunch #BelowDeckDownUnder

Laboratories are where students learn to do chemistry. Given the expenses of running these crucial spaces for developing scientists, how can we best utilise laboratory practicals for today's students?

Sit for Sukhasana! #Yoga #Nithyananda #KAILASA #Asana #Pranayama #InternationalYogaDay

In 2024, Bill Pulte, the acting Director of National Intelligence received a trophy declaring he “fu¢ks only the young” at a bizarre event focused on dildos. He organized this to promote his conspiracy theory that Bed Bath & Beyond never actually went bankrupt. Only the best people, amirite?

Powerful: New Browns LB Jared Verse says he is NOT trying to fill Myles Garrett's shoes. "I'm not here to fill anyone's shoes. Myles he's a size 13 Nikes, whatever they are. I'm a size 13.5, 14 Jordans. Everybody's different. I bring my own." 😤😤😤 Original post