Justin Wolfers
@justinwolfers
"Every time the president leans into belligerence... the stock market falls." Markets can’t vote, but they can mark down the price of risk.
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Optimism is not a policy tool. If there’s no clear timeline for resolution, energy markets will price in uncertainty. And uncertainty is costly because firms can’t plan and househo...
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The important macroeconomic question isn't: Have charges against Powell been dropped? It's this: Can the next Fed chair make an unpopular decision without fear of jail? The President has made no promises he won't jail the next guy, so no, the Fed isn't independent.
Pete Hegseth’s focused on the cost of the bomb. I’m more interested in the size of the economic crater. And that crater may be 10 to 100 times larger. For many families, that translates into thousands — perhaps tens of thousands — of dollars.
A 60-year low in sentiment is a big deal because the baseline is already tough: this survey has lived through recessions, inflation, wars, and financial crises. And yet this is worse. Read the full analysis on Substack: https://newsletter.platypuseconomics.com/p/consumer-sentiment-hits-a-record
Wall Street is basically my mum with a report card: expected a D, got a C, called it progress.
Two weeks in, Platypus Economics is doing well. But to really succeed, we need sponsors. It's simple economics, really. Insight: I bet some of my Platypals work in the real world, with real jobs, and advertising budgets. If that's you, reach out: sponsor@platypuseconomics.com
This isn’t just about who gets a tax cut. It’s about who bears the long-run burden. Higher prices for basics plus temporary relief is a rotten deal for working households.
Fed chair: one of the rare jobs where a bad call can echo through the entire world economy. So yes, I am old-fashioned enough to think boyish good looks and "no regrets" might be underqualified.
A terrific sign for business confidence is when "not wiping civilizations off the map" counts as good news. Low bar. Somehow still doing limbo under it.
Bottom line: the issue isn't only what Iran can do. It's that everyone now knows what Iran can do. Revealed vulnerability changes bargaining power.
Optimism is not a policy tool. If there’s no clear timeline for resolution, energy markets will price in uncertainty. And uncertainty is costly because firms can’t plan and households can’t budget.
🚨 ICYMI: Kentucky’s Senate primary showed the growing power of Trump’s endorsement inside the GOP. Andy Barr won decisively after Trump endorsed him and a major rival exited the race for an ambassadorship role. The seat Mitch McConnell held since 1984 is now heading to a Trump loyalist.
Hungary signals readiness to sanctions Russia’s Patriarch Kirill! #news #worldnews #hungary #russia #hungarynews #euro #eunews #europe #european #patriarch #kirilll #eu
CORE Rules! ChimeraSHOCK! TTRPG in a world of Steam Engines, Bi-Planes, Airships, Black Powder, Super Science, Swords, and Majhic... Evolution on each world like ours doesn't happen all at once. Technology doesn't propagate at an equal rate. Cultures collide. #dnd #steampunk
For this #InternationalDayofEducation, take advantage of Wolfram U's interactive courses, training and certifications in a wide range of computational fields. From Data science, to machine learning, LLMs to mathematics... we have your learning journey covered! https://www.wolfram.com/wolfram-u
Just as anti-vax activism is as old as vaccines, the anti-psychiatry crowd has been around for generations. This is just the latest incarnation.
Today marks 77 years of the Council of Europe 🎉 Since 1949, it has united 46 countries around human rights, democracy and the rule of law, creating a common legal space for 700+ million people. 77 years of human rights in practice.
Labour guy on the bbc saying that there is broad consensus to rally round Kier Starmer! Honey wake up and see he’s wrapped in barbed wire and stop going in for the cuddle. The call is coming from inside the house.
Not to mention, gunning down people for trying to help a tear gassed victim, or saying "I'm not mad at you."
🔥You won’t believe it… until your jeans start slipping off your waist. Tried every diet and still stuck? You’re not alone. Then you watch this “Wait… is this real?” Over 10,000+ women & men have already transformed✨ VISIT LoseWeightSmoothie.com #WeightLoss #SmoothieDiet #SmoothieRecipes #GlowUp
Everything is on fire, yet they stand strong and keep believing in victory. Endless gratitude to the defenders of Ukraine 💙💛
Happy Earth Day, Spadina–Harbourfront! I hope you all have the chance to get outside and enjoy the incredible nature our riding has to offer, from our magnificent waterfront, to the islands, and the many parks in between. #cdnpoli #MPChiNguyen #SpadinaHarbourfront
Artificial Grass Puppy Pee Pad for Dogs and Small Pets - 20x30 Inch, Reusable 4-Layer Turf Pads for Dogs with Tray - Indoor and Outdoor Fake Grass Potty Pet Supplies by PETMAKER 🛒 Check on Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0BC29C2M8/?tag=sersart2024-20
Tooked up in bed playing some mario kart, and watching the sidemen on YouTube 😀☺️ #MarioKartWorld #NintendoSwitch2
The future of Thames Water is very important to residents and I have been raising a number of issues on their behalf. The government will always act in the national interest on these issues, and while the company remains financially stable, the government stands ready for all eventualities.
Yesterday, I stood shoulder to shoulder with UNAC/UHCP members at the Kaiser Unfair Labor Practice Strike in Riverside. Nurses & healthcare workers are frontline heroes, not bargaining chips. They deserve a fair contract, fair wages, & safe working conditions NOW! #TogetherWeWin #UNACUHCPStrong
Christina Ricci reveals what she has learned from her Yellowjackets character, Misty, at Scaradise 2025 Instagram/Threads: SheFantasyEnt TikTok: therealmsshe YouTube: SheFantasy-fe7lo #yellowjackets #yellowjacketsseason3 #christinaricci #scaradise #qanda #horrorconvention #horrorcon #panel
🤡 Geopolitics feels like a bad comedy. Iran threatens Ukraine for drones, forgetting they’ve attacked us with Iranian drones from day one! Meanwhile, Trump lifts sanctions on Russia—the one supplying intel to strike U.S. bases. 🤦♀️ The only peace plan? Defeat & demilitarize Russia
Descend into a cursed idle dungeon where every upgrade feeds the unknown. 🕯️🩸 Horripilant is now available on Steam 👇 #indiegame #indiedev
⭕Scènes apocalyptiques dans plusieurs villes du Sud du #Liban ce matin. Les frappes #Israéliennes s’intensifient, les autorités #Libanaises sont silencieuses.
AI-infrastructuur wordt vaak gezien als een technisch vraagstuk. Dat is een misvatting. Een AI-Gigafabriek (AIGF) raakt direct aan geopolitiek, economische kracht en strategische autonomie. Nieuwe HCSS analyse: buff.ly/edNs3h6
When Racists Are Given the Powers of State, Everybody Dies😂 #ASE — Not Just Black People No debate.😴💤 theorionblogown.blogspot.com/2026/01/when... Grok on DNA-Coded Shapeshifting Gadgets😴💤 theorionblogown.blogspot.com/2025/08/dna-... #GENOCIDE #LOOSH #NYC #Aus #Mecca #Berlin #Bro #Vienna #Warsaw
Web3 is evolving fast - the real conversations happen on the ground. @whyscripted.bsky.social is heading to Hong Kong Web3 Festival 2026. Capturing founder stories, insights & raw Web3 convos. 📅 Apr 20–23 | Booth J12 Let’s connect 🤝 #WhyScripted #HKWeb3Festival #Web3 #Blockchain
If you or a loved one is dealing with a mental health crisis or struggling with drug or alcohol issues, help is available. Call or text 988 for support. Video Transcript (Text on Screen): You matter. You are heard. You are not alone. Call or text 988.
Ukrainian defender Vitalii Andreichenko returns to his hometown after more than three years in Russian captivity. His family, friends and the entire village came out to welcome Vitalii home! #AureFreePress #News #Ukraine #war
Snippet of Wreckless Eric, the Make-Out Room, Dan Francisco, May 7, 2026… @thewrecklesseric @makeoutroomsf
We have Bryde’s whale action in Australia! 9/12/25 Fabulous sightings from yesterday. The Australian Bryde’s Whale Catalogue is in full swing and so is citizen science effort to learn more about this species in Australian waters! #scicomm #brydeswhale #australia #abwc
When you have The Avengers at home. 😁 #deadbydaylight #deadbydaylightgameplay #deadbydaylightmoments #gaming #dbd
This month’s list of consultations & inquiries from the UK’s 4 legislatures & governments that require #socialscience evidence incl. consultations on digital childhoods, modernising elections, investment in research infrastructure, & more. Find out more ➡️ acss.org.uk/policy-monit...
New episode of Wrestling With Rumors is now up on my Wrestling With Rumors #youtube channel youtu.be/5eWtT_1Myoo?... #prowrestling #WrestlingWithRumors
Exploring Kami is a reward in itself. Where are your favorite scenic locations in Cairn? (We’re working on the travel brochures😉)
BBC Balloons flew away today 04/01/97 - 28/03/02. Flying over iconic landmarks throughout the UK they introduced BBC1 TV programmes. As the whole world focused its attention on #BirmINgham in May 1998 the balloon took flight over Pebble Mill to celebrate hosting #Eurovision + #G8 on Midlands Today.
In a now-deleted video, Trump made his priorities clear: He'd rather spend money on bombs than taking care of Americans.
Here's my tux and I'm ready for #TheGameAwards The song is Gold by Spandau Ballet
Ach ja, und das Reh ist wieder da. 🥰 Das ist die kleine Wiese gegenüber. Witzig. Fühlt sich durch mich und mein Geklicke nicht mehr wirklich. Ich dachte ich hätte das Kleine am Ufer vom Bach gehört...
🔥 Así quedó el edificio calcinado en el barrio de A Ponte Los bomberos continúan con las labores de refresco ↘️https://mrf.lu/BNs5
Added the ability to control the first-person debug camera with the mouse, and it isn't exactly what I expected, but eh, good enough for testing! #GodotEngine #gamedev #indiedev
Author: lokilearnsbuttons New word, same priorities #talkingcat #petcommunication #catsoftiktok #fluentpet #smartcat
LADIES, GENTLEMEN, AND NON-BINARIES I present to you… 🥁🥁🥁 ….The moment last night - IN FULL- where reality hit Tom Steyer and he shit his pants for exactly 6 minutes straight! (This moment happened literally 5 minutes after California received the first batch of ballot results LMAOO) P. 1/2