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Jack Bailey

@jack-bailey.co.uk

🇬🇧 UK Poll of Polls: 31 May 2026 27% ➡️ Reform 20% 🌹 Labour 19% 🌳 Conservative 13% 🍃 Green 12% 🐥 Lib Dem 5% 👽 Other 3% ✖️ SNP

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🇬🇧 UK Poll of Polls: 23 May 2026 28% ➡️ Reform 19% 🌹 Labour 18% 🌳 Conservative 13% 🍃 Green 12% 🐥 Lib Dem 6% 👽 Other 3% ✖️ SNP

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Jack Bailey

If the UK had used MMP -- like Germany, New Zealand, or Scotland -- every party in Great Britain would have won more seats except for the Labour Party. jack-bailey.co.uk/writing/just...

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Jack Bailey

I've decided to keep an 'open notebook' where I publish the research notes that I make on my website. I won't post them all here, but I think the first one is interesting. Simply put: party-system fragmentation isn't one thing, it's *two*. jack-bailey.co.uk/notes/fragme...

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Jack Bailey

🇬🇧 UK Poll of Polls: 24 May 2026 27% ➡️ Reform 19% 🌹 Labour 18% 🌳 Conservative 13% 🍃 Green 12% 🐥 Lib Dem 6% 👽 Other 3% ✖️ SNP

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Jack Bailey

Finally got my hands on a Galton board and I can't get over just how cool it is. And it's *such* a good teaching tool too. You could use it to teach anything from generative modelling, to distributional assumptions, to entropy. Magical!

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Jack Bailey

A cool thing about the effective number of parties is that you can compute it using a simple physics simulation. As particles collide, the ratio of *all collisions* to *collisions of the same colour* converges on the effective number of parties.

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🇬🇧 UK Poll of Polls: 20 May 2026 28% ➡️ Reform 19% 🌹 Labour 18% 🌳 Conservative 14% 🍃 Green 12% 🐥 Lib Dem 6% 👽 Other 3% ✖️ SNP

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Jack Bailey

In 2024, 744 parties competed in the Indian general election, 10 times as many as in the UK. Yet we describe both as 2-party systems. Why? My new post explains how to count like a political scientist: using the *effective* number of parties. jack-bailey.co.uk/blog/what-is...

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It turns out that elections are really triangles. Who knew? jack-bailey.co.uk/writing/elec...

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⭕Le bilan de la mort du massacre #Israélien à #Deir-Qanoun_Al-Nahr la nuit dernière s'élève à 12 — 11 des personnes tuées appartiennent à la même famille.

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ERROR 404 ▼

Boost Testos'terone & Strength Naturally! 😯 #health

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The truth is, hypertrophy isn’t built on paper. It’s forged under the bar, through intent, execution, and the relentless pursuit of relative intensity. 🎧 TUNE IN to Power Athlete Radio Ep 858: From Effort to Size - The Hypertrophy Standard Explained 🔗 bit.ly/PARep858

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1️⃣ Antarctic sea ice during winter didn’t use to change very much from year to year. But in recent winters, the extent of ice has crashed to unusually low levels. Which begs the question: what controls how much sea ice can form in winter? 🌊 plot by @edoddridge.bsky.social

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Houston Texans' GM Nick Caserio on contract extension talks for DE Will Anderson Jr and QB CJ Stroud. #Texans #NFL

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Ever wondered what getting a skin check looks like? Rush dermatologist Parul Goyal, MD, shows Fox 32 Chicago anchor Anthony Ponce and answers questions about skin cancer prevention. Watch the full interview: https://rsh.md/3VMY28z

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Don’t count traditional media out yet. This week, Molly Jong-Fast joined The Briefing with Michael Waldman to discuss the future of journalism, war powers, and the Justice Department: bit.ly/4mD9Mat

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Doing this to an ICE agent would cure my depression, I just know it.

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👑 Y A P 👑 K I N G 👑

Burnin’

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"A video shows an Israeli settler throwing a block at a cat’s head in the village of Atara in the West Bank." www.threads.com/@vpalestinet...

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The Nationals did their fireworks tonight, with Guido Reichstadter still on the bridge. He’s where you can see the black banner hanging down.

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Nobody asked for this game but I'm making it anyway 👍

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I am honored to have earned the personal trust and support of the former Mayor of Irvine, Sukhee Kang. We both served in the federal government as presidential appointees under former President Joe Biden, and share priorities rooted in efficiency, transparency, and government accountability.

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Yesterday Boston shut them out. Today Acuña answered. 🔥⚾ 417-ft grand slam over the Green Monster. Harris II solo HR. Albies 3-for-5 with a HR. Sale 8 Ks vs his former team. Braves 10, Red Sox 2. Record: 38-19. Braves: 97% | Red Sox: 14% www.basechaser.com basechaser.com/braves-acuna...

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Conferences like are not failing by accident—they are designed to delay, to absorb urgency, and to make you feel like something is happening We don’t need more observers in rooms,we need people willing to disrupt, to build, and to act now. Sign up to festivalofrevolutions.org

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