A cool thing about the effective number of parties is that you can compute it using a simple physics simulation. As particles collide, the ratio of *all collisions* to *collisions of the same colour* converges on the effective number of parties.

In 2024, 744 parties competed in the Indian general election, 10 times as many as in the UK. Yet we describe both as 2-party systems. Why? My new post explains how to count like a political scientist: using the *effective* number of parties. jack-bailey.co.uk/blog/what-is...

If the UK had used MMP -- like Germany, New Zealand, or Scotland -- every party in Great Britain would have won more seats except for the Labour Party. jack-bailey.co.uk/writing/just...

🇬🇧 UK Poll of Polls: 31 May 2026 27% ➡️ Reform 20% 🌹 Labour 19% 🌳 Conservative 13% 🍃 Green 12% 🐥 Lib Dem 5% 👽 Other 3% ✖️ SNP

Finally got my hands on a Galton board and I can't get over just how cool it is. And it's *such* a good teaching tool too. You could use it to teach anything from generative modelling, to distributional assumptions, to entropy. Magical!

I've decided to keep an 'open notebook' where I publish the research notes that I make on my website. I won't post them all here, but I think the first one is interesting. Simply put: party-system fragmentation isn't one thing, it's *two*. jack-bailey.co.uk/notes/fragme...

🇬🇧 UK Poll of Polls: 23 May 2026 28% ➡️ Reform 19% 🌹 Labour 18% 🌳 Conservative 13% 🍃 Green 12% 🐥 Lib Dem 6% 👽 Other 3% ✖️ SNP

🇬🇧 UK Poll of Polls: 20 May 2026 28% ➡️ Reform 19% 🌹 Labour 18% 🌳 Conservative 14% 🍃 Green 12% 🐥 Lib Dem 6% 👽 Other 3% ✖️ SNP

It turns out that elections are really triangles. Who knew? jack-bailey.co.uk/writing/elec...

Husted and Ashley Moody speak to Trump like he's a toddler

CORE Rules! ChimeraSHOCK! TTRPG in a world of Steam Engines, Bi-Planes, Airships, Black Powder, Super Science, Swords, and Majhic... Evolution on each world like ours doesn't happen all at once. Technology doesn't propagate at an equal rate. Cultures collide. #dnd #steampunk

First part of day 1. Sorry that I don't have Gen Z skills and was slow to start on the crosswalk vid but I slowed the first part down so you can hear the crossing guard whistle and see the car run the lights.

Whether it was in “Melrose Place,” on “Days of Our Lives,” or in the modern science fiction classic “Starship Troopers,” we always enjoyed seeing Patrick Muldoon on screen.

#Hemp #greenenegry #farming #fuel #Corruption with the #federalgovernment

Recapping Temple’s 95-67 win over Saint Francis ✂️Video clip below ⬇️ 🗞️Read my column at Big5Hoops site👇 big5hoops.com/aaron-bracys... 🎥FULL video recap at BracySportsMedia TikTok 👇 www.tiktok.com/t/ZTrqa9pdR/ #Big5Hoops

Believe They’ve Got the Resources to Get Well | Listen UP Episode 6 - Marie McGuire - Out Now! Therapist Marie McGuire explains EXACTLY how belief in oneself (and others) is the cornerstone of recovery, in Episode 6 of Listen UP. EPISODE 6 - OUT NOW - lk2.app/luep6 #recoverymindset

Jesus says nothing stays hidden forever—here’s why that’s mercy. #FaithTok #ChristianLiving #GodGoesBeforeMe #LoveLikeJesus #TrustGod #PeaceInChrist #GraceOverJudgment #christiancontent #christantiktok #christanity #BibleReading #christianfyp #fyp

Fresh Stats: Caitlin Clark, Sophie Cunningham & Indiana Fever Show Great Energy at Practice Before Valkyries Trip Link: youtu.be/K_XQmZj7LFo #CC22 #CaitlinClark #SophieCunningham #FeverRising #NowYouKnow #FromAnywhere #IndianaFever #WNBA

🚨The Army agrees: our WARRIOR Act will make America’s military stronger and our country safer by ensuring that our servicemembers are judged on the merits — not their gender.

AMH-Wert zu niedrig nach Fehlgeburt: was er wirklich bedeutet AMH niedrig. Und dann? Du bist die Frau die nicht bei einer Zahl stehen bleibt. Du willst wissen was dieser Wert wirklich bedeutet. Und was er dir nicht sagt. AMH misst Quantität. Nicht Qualität. Ein niedriger Wert bedeutet nicht dass

The longest homers of the last week Presented by @MountainDew

“Finnish pro-russia Sally Raiski told #Russian media that, in her opinion, Helsinki is allegedly preparing to provoke a conflict with #Russia by conducting exercises near the border.

Life would be so much easier if we didn’t need: Air Food Water Toilets Medical and Sleep 😑

Washington HITS Iran, then acts OFFENDED when Iran touches the leverage Washington forced it to use. The US wants Iran to absorb attacks, bury its dead, lose its leaders — and still keep the Strait of Hormuz open like nothing happened. You don’t get to light the fire and complain about the smoke.

Matthew went from substance use & stage 3 liver damage to father and homeowner—all thanks to Medicaid. Today, he comes home to his daughter daily. But with Republicans threatening to cut $2.5 trillion dollars from Medicaid, how many people like Matthew will lose their second chance?

In this Sea of Opportunities episode, Michael Sangster connects with a Boatswain from the Royal Canadian Navy, offering a closer look at life aboard HMCS St. John’s, from demanding 12-hour shifts and hands-on responsibilities that define service at sea. 🔊 Listen now: buff.ly/Q9xswzg

#BetterConnected [VD: Animation advising no alcohol on-board services. Travel Safe. Respect staff. Respect fellow passengers]

Real estate agent Umar Hayat making another run at Winnipeg mayor's office? #Miami #LA #newyork #canada #vegas #usa #toronto #winnipeg #vancouver

¿Y tú cómo te llamas? (final imperdible)

Valentines for Veterans brings together two of the most vital parts of our community: our children and our veterans. Look at these beautiful cards students from McCurdy Charter School in Española made for our veterans this Valentine’s Day!

It’s time to turn UP!!! 🪩✨

Americans are feeling squeezed—prices are increasing, and wages can't keep up.

"Wake up... Take off your jewels..."🎶

On our 50th episode @lucyham.bsky.social joins the @boganintelpod.bsky.social to discuss the Atlas network, neo-liberalism and nuances of the modern conservative movement. You wont find this discussion in the legacy media. Full episode in comments 👇

It seems like there is a lack of patience in our society these days, especially on this platform. The arguments for universal healthcare are so numerous, it can be really frustrating, repeating them, add nausea and expecting to move the needle.

Europeans shouldn’t panic about Donald Trump’s threats toward Greenland. They should act—fast and visibly—to raise the costs of any annexation attempt. They can play “Arctic hold‘em” – with ten European cards 👇 https://bit.ly/45AQ3kr

Why Russia Will Never Be A Democracy Russia will never be a democracy. The cause is cultural, set centuries before Putin was born. #CulturalPerspective #Russia #Hofstede #CulturalTheory #Authoritarianism

The dead internet theory is something that has fascinated us for a while, would like to hear what you think of it?

Apify Claude Connector. It can scrape any public data on the internet. Social media. Reviews. Whole websites. I've built a scheduled task that scrapes my Instagram every week. Claude analyses the data, ranks my top performers. Then I modify next week's content plan. Full setup guide on my Substack.

🇫🇷 Paris is being set ablaze tonight — not by conflict, but by celebration.

AmplifyCreations made this fake interior shader with their tool Amplify Shader Editor, using parallax and baked textures to create the illusion of depth. 🏙️ See more: www.reddit.com/r/Unity3D/co... #unity3d #indiedev

Vitinha x Giannis Antetokounmpo 🏆 @PlayStationEU | #UCLPOTM

If lubricant lubricates, then glue binds. #gamedev #pcgaming #indiegame

Milo’s Notebook TONIGHT (Friday) at TFF!! #furry #furryfandom #littlealphapup #texasfurryfiesta #tff @furryfiesta.org

Didn't these effers ever get taught about Constitutional rights? In order to be a law enforcement officer, you should be tested on people's rights every flippin year & the test should be hard, like passing the fking bar. There should also be psych tests administered it annually.

Power prices in PA and NJ are about to go up by as much as 20% on June 1st. Protesters gathered outside PJM’s headquarters, calling for more investment in green energy they believe could bring down prices. Catch my story on @wfmz.com at 6

The Iran war is costing 6x more than what we spend on food assistance for hungry Americans. Trump has decided we can't afford healthcare tax credits for hardworking Americans, but we can spend up to $2 billion a day dropping bombs in the Middle East.

Europe is warming more than twice as fast as the global average 🌍 According to the European State of the Climate Report 2025 by @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social, Europe has already warmed by ~2.5°C since pre-industrial times, versus ~1.4°C globally. 🔗 Read more: climate.copernicus.eu/esotc/2025/w...

The beautiful purple Dorado Octopus, off the Pacific coast of Costa Rica.

here's Hezbollah using a FPV drone on a fiber optic cable to neutralize an invading technical vehicle bsky.app/profile/penb...

We’re excited to finally share the very first Golf 5 MAX #Devlog with all of you! Learn about: 🎯 The vision behind the game 🎮 Arcade gameplay mixed with realistic golf physics 🚀 Future features, multiplayer ambitions, & more Read here: store.steampowered.com/news/app/392... #golf #indiegame

May 18 is HIV Vaccine Awareness Day. While there’s no vaccine yet, testing, PrEP & treatment save lives. Radiant Health Centers offers inclusive HIV care for all in OC. Get tested, stay informed & take action. #EndHIV #RadiantHealth40

The death toll from the Israeli strike near Jabal Amel Hospital rose to 4 killed and 127 wounded, including 39 hospital staff members, according to Lebanon’s Health Ministry. 🧵

PM Carney says he's not considering expelling US Ambassador Pete Hoekstra over Trump's latest 51st state post, adding that "it's an administration that we have to work with ... We take the administration as it is." 🎥 Credit CBC News ❤️🍁🇨🇦TEAM CANADA FOREVER🇨🇦🍁❤️ ❤️🍁🇨🇦VIVE LE CANADA 🇨🇦🍁❤️

NTV Russian Federation (RU) #NTV #RussianFederation

ICYMI, this is Garrett Langley, the CEO of #Flock, in a Forbes interview with @thomasbrewster.bsky.social in September 2025. He believes that opposing mass #surveillance and adding camera locations to a map equates to being a "terroristic organization." Full video: youtu.be/fVCVQcd9PLc #deflock

Jonas Mekas on artists. Thoughts?

RUSH: クロス・アーム・パイルドライバー (cross-arm piledriver) | STRAIGHT-JACKET PILEDRIVER #AEWDynamite 🤼‍♂️

今日こそ、参議院でしっかりと答えていただきましょう