A cool thing about the effective number of parties is that you can compute it using a simple physics simulation. As particles collide, the ratio of *all collisions* to *collisions of the same colour* converges on the effective number of parties.

I've decided to keep an 'open notebook' where I publish the research notes that I make on my website. I won't post them all here, but I think the first one is interesting. Simply put: party-system fragmentation isn't one thing, it's *two*. jack-bailey.co.uk/notes/fragme...

If the UK had used MMP -- like Germany, New Zealand, or Scotland -- every party in Great Britain would have won more seats except for the Labour Party. jack-bailey.co.uk/writing/just...

🇬🇧 UK Poll of Polls: 24 May 2026 27% ➡️ Reform 19% 🌹 Labour 18% 🌳 Conservative 13% 🍃 Green 12% 🐥 Lib Dem 6% 👽 Other 3% ✖️ SNP

Finally got my hands on a Galton board and I can't get over just how cool it is. And it's *such* a good teaching tool too. You could use it to teach anything from generative modelling, to distributional assumptions, to entropy. Magical!

In 2024, 744 parties competed in the Indian general election, 10 times as many as in the UK. Yet we describe both as 2-party systems. Why? My new post explains how to count like a political scientist: using the *effective* number of parties. jack-bailey.co.uk/blog/what-is...

🇬🇧 UK Poll of Polls: 20 May 2026 28% ➡️ Reform 19% 🌹 Labour 18% 🌳 Conservative 14% 🍃 Green 12% 🐥 Lib Dem 6% 👽 Other 3% ✖️ SNP

🇬🇧 UK Poll of Polls: 31 May 2026 27% ➡️ Reform 20% 🌹 Labour 19% 🌳 Conservative 13% 🍃 Green 12% 🐥 Lib Dem 5% 👽 Other 3% ✖️ SNP

It turns out that elections are really triangles. Who knew? jack-bailey.co.uk/writing/elec...

This Week on NERD NEWS 3/27 - 4/2. What are you most excited for? What news did we miss? #nerdnews #supergirl #comicbooks #scream

#EnzoFernandez, #MarcCucurella and #JoaoPedro were clearly in #Spain for a reason. All are looking for moves to #RealMadrid, #Atletico and #Barcelona, they want to leave. You can't blame them, #Chelsea aren't acting like a big club #cfc #chelseafc #football #footballnews #fyp #bluesky #sports #sport

It’s up to Democrats to force this War Powers debate on a weekly basis, which we will continue to do until this war ends. Via @chrismurphyct.bsky.social

who needs guitars anyway?

Totally makes sense now. Bubba is Bill and now we know why Trump sings YMCA non-stop. Must of been a hell of a bloweee.

Here's Eco-Cat 🐱 with some positive news about #sustainability achievements in the business world. 🌍 Read more: sustainabilityonline.net/news/interes... ✅

I hate putting out videos about the news, current events or politics because I know I will get abuse online. Don't try to reason with trolls, bullies and bots, just block them and move on with your life. It's so much better for your mental health.

Three things on May 1st: Don't go to work. Don't go to school. Don't spend a dollar. Find your local event at maydaystrong.org  #MayDay2026 #GeneralStrike

Matt Able's NC State to UNC move grabs headlines, while Duke reloads | Carolina Panthers NFL Drat primer w/ @mikekayefootball.bsky.social | Tom "El Cheapo" Dundon only cares about winning, but Brind'Amour is what makes it work | OG Sports Phone! linktr.ee/ogtriangleme...

Rapist Primate Trump "blinked" for a long time during Pete Kegsbreath Memorial Day speech

BAFTA TV Records Set, Cardi B Event Updates, and Britney Spears Details Her Journey #celebrity #popculture #famous #trending #celebnews

🔥Just dropped the Dance Fire lyric video! Now you can sing along! Let's goooo!  https://youtu.be/Q5MZbCAAXTw  #LyricVideo #NewSong #DanceFire

2dayz; “Dat Part, Right There!!” 💯🥲💔🎤👏😮🤔🎯🤷‍♀️😮👍👌🙋‍♀️ 🌌🌠🌑🌕 #thatpartrightthere #periodtttpooh #littlebitdangerous #bouncebackqueen #fyp

✨Events!✨ Nekomancer of Nowhere will be proudly showcased at two more events! - AwesomeCon in Washington, D.C, March 13-15th - PAX East in Boston, March 26-29th If you're in the area, check out our final Nekomancer of Nowhere showings (and grab free stuff)! (5/6)

Brawler (Hardcover) Now at Magsstore 👉 Grab your copy now: www.magsstore.com/books/brawle... #magsstore #Brawler #BookLovers #MustRead #NewRelease #FictionReads #Bookstagram #ReadersOfFacebook #TrendingBooks #HardcoverBooks #LiteratureLovers #StoryCollection #BookAddict #ReadingCommunity

I'm not usually nesh about these things but it's fucking freezing out there.

Today is Mark Mothersbaugh’s birthday! Let’s Talk About Mark Mothersbaugh! #happybirthday #markmothersbaugh #devo #newwave #poprock #icon #legend

"Sword Peak" (Jianfeng) located in the Shennongjia National Nature Reserve in Hubei Province, China. Millions of years ago, this area was an ocean floor made of thick layers of limestone. Earth's movements pushed these layers upward, creating vertical fractures. #nature #geography #science

Nickelodeon was a part time babysitter for my kids while I did housework in the early mid nineties. What in the heck was I thinking?! This is from Ren and Stimpy

Are Knicks fans officially done talking about the January 2024 Knicks? @TheCohencidence tells you why they all should be 👀

Countries contributing least to climate change are being hit hardest. Sorry, Lucy… worrying about climate change isn’t a privileged issue, it’s a humanitarian one. #climatechange #STEM #climateaction #factcheck

Inflation is Causing Beef 🥊🥩 Prices up. Paychecks… not so much. That’s inflation. Here’s what it actually means, why it happens, and how it quietly drains everyday people. Full episode in bio. Learn the words. Laugh at the system. #Politicalwordsforadults #Inflation #Comedy

You can now listen to Prof Margaret Ikpoh's talk from our Doctors in Deprivation Training Day on Spotify, as part of our Hope in the Deep End Podcast: open.spotify.com/episode/6tZw... Learn more about our annual Doctors in Deprivation Training Day: sharedhealthfoundation.org.uk/news/doctors...

THIS IS WHAT AN INDIE GAME LOOKS LIKE

The Postal Service says postmark dates are no longer reliable.That creates real risk for mail-in ballots in the 2026 elections, where timing is critical. zurl.co/2CQId #Elections #PublicPolicy #GoodRevenue

The 6-week federal shutdown in the fall of 2025 cost the state $2.4 billion in reduced economic output. Src. nevadapoliticaljournal.com/news/nevada-...

If you enjoy politics and betrayal in fantasy fiction, welcome! I'm glad to have you here in Anturia. The women's diaries in Anturia tell you who falls first.

May 28, 2026 Cocke County, Tennessee, USA Severe flash flooding struck Cocke County, Tennessee, USA on the morning of May 28. The worst impacts occurred in the Parrottsville, Bybee, and Centerview areas, where heavy rains caused small streams and rivers to overflow their banks.

CryptidBoyz - Wordplay Jokes #jokes #cryptidboyz

Australian lawyers kicking around the same AI exemption questions [on religious grounds]. Accommodations are made for other faiths. I disagree that anyone outside of tech has AI as an integral part of their job, as it is only very recently been made available.

⚠️The UK government is actively involved in genocide changing laws to silence resistance They’re with the people who are destroying communities in Gaza, a place of everyday terror And behind? Insurers It is the same businesses that insure homes and underwriting the policies obliterating Gaza

Before winning first place in two events at the California Interscholastic League's Track & Field Championships, AB Hernandez read social media posts from adults protesting her participation. @cerisecastle.bsky.social caught up with one outside the stadium.

here's the full new Xbox boot animation, now available for Xbox Insiders in the Alpha and Alpha Skip-Ahead rings

Mario Kart Super Circuit - Part 1. Reviving some racing memories. 👉 Full video via link in bio, TikTok/YouTube/FB #nintendo #mariokart #gba #custom #retrogaming

Happy Teacher Appreciation Month! Thank you to all the teachers who do the tireless work of educating our kids, and a special thank you to Mr. Hicks for everything he did for my friends and me growing up.

This is truly how I felt about y'all reposting Met Gala BS. Guess class solidarity doesn't apply to y'all fr.

Don't go in too deep, know when to pull out... *now* we're busting (only), babyeeee! twitch.tv/thatpunk_ #retrogaming #gaming #twitch #megaman

The parry mechanic a long time to get used to, but damn does it feel good when you get good at it ⚔️🔥 👾: Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 (2025) 🎮: PC / Steam Deck (Not pictured: the dozens of times I attempted this and didn't make it past a single round 💀)

PART 3: Counterprotesting the “No Kings” protesters. 👀🇺🇸 Casa Grande, Arizona. Straight-up, it’s a bunch of old white Liberals. Enjoy this multiple-part series. MustangMedic gives you more. #nokingsprotest #arizona #nokings #breakingnews #breaking #mustangmedic #politics

Jared Kushner, the unelected grifter. Trump and his crime ridden family, sons, daughters and son-in-law, were ALL unelected. Both times foreign & national interests hijacked the election to control the United States government. Will they ever face justice?! The American people want justice!!

The opportunity for mischief here... "This Prego tastes awful. What's happening to my stomach?" "There's some strange pain... in my chest.... AGAAAAH"

Happy Pride month to my friends, family, and anyone who celebrates their community and themselves this June Never doubt that you do have allies out here.

In late October, House Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries announced his support for Zohran Mamdani, nearly four months after he became the Democratic nominee for New York mayor. I pulled together a mashup of the 17 weeks that Jeffries and Schumer spent refusing to endorse him.

#poetry #poems #quotes #love #life #death #matrix #insanity #sanity

Far away from Indian mainland, the government is pumping billions of dollars into a controversial development project https://aje.news/fe18xw

What the hell. PURA got this dead wrong. This decision delivers $68 million more in profits and hundreds of thousands of dollars in bonus pay for corporate executives. CT families and businesses cannot afford the bills they get now, and they cannot afford this increase. We're going to keep fighting.

Remembering my time with Rio and playing through Lifeline.

They successfully returned to Delaney Hall.

“His dementia keeps getting louder every day.” ~Gavin Newsom