Justin Wolfers
@justinwolfers
Kevin Warsh once argued for rates that were too high for the economy, and he now seems politically reluctant to contradict Trump. That's a worrying combo. We'll find out soon enough which one shows up to work.
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Optimism is not a policy tool. If there’s no clear timeline for resolution, energy markets will price in uncertainty. And uncertainty is costly because firms can’t plan and househo...
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Opportunity cost is Econ 101 with real stakes: the cost of a choice is not just dollars spent, but what you gave up. For war, that means not only destruction, but all the prosperity that never gets a chance to exist.
Short-run discomfort ≠ long-run harm. Phone bans make students feel worse at first — then better. By year two, well-being rebounds above baseline. Turns out kids (like all of us) just needed time to adapt.
Optimism is not a policy tool. If there’s no clear timeline for resolution, energy markets will price in uncertainty. And uncertainty is costly because firms can’t plan and households can’t budget.
Courts saying “go to Congress” is not courts banning tariffs. It’s courts saying the Constitution still exists. That matters for markets too: the rule of law lowers uncertainty; arbitrary power raises it.
AI is booming. The broader economy, not so much. That matters because workers and small businesses don’t all live inside one tech boom.
Two things can be true at once: private credit isn't identical to 2008-era shadow banking, and some of the same vulnerabilities may be creeping back. Similar enough to inspect closely.
A windfall profits tax sounds great as a one-off. But once investors expect it to happen again, it's no longer a windfall tax—it's just a profits tax. And that can discourage the investment you actually want.
Optimism is not a policy tool. If there’s no clear timeline for resolution, energy markets will price in uncertainty. And uncertainty is costly because firms can’t plan and households can’t budget.
If you remove phones, you haven’t removed boredom, status competition, or conflict. You’ve just changed the setting. That’s why the first-year effects can look messy.
For families and firms, this isn’t academic. If the people steering monetary policy are chosen for cable-news combat rather than analytic clarity, the cost shows up in jobs, prices, and uncertainty.
Reporters at ITV News and ITN are being freed from the logistics to focus on the creativity, with Avid for News, including Wolftech ▶️ avid.co/GlEN50YUTq7 #itvnews #itn #newsproduction #wolftech #avid #news #broadcast #technology
Lisa Nandy thinks you're stupid, suggesting that an 8% bump in GDP by rejoining the EU won't help address inequality across the country Labour literally doing everything they can to get economic growth, to improve the country, but repeatedly rejecting the one thing that will drive economic growth
Im Fellner-TV sind mittlerweile auch die letzten Tabus gebrochen und jede Grenze des guten Geschmacks meilenweit überschritten. Gerald Grosz darf live auf Sendung queere Menschen verhöhnen – und seine menschenverachtenden Parolen anschließend auf seinen Social-Media-Kanälen weiterverbreiten.
🗣️ @marenmorris.bsky.social : “All these college commencement speakers reveling in the future of A.I., and the students rightfully booing them — how disrespectful to these students that have worked so hard… stop trying to make ‘A.I. is cool’ happen.”
Human caused climate change is almost assuredly involved in this off-charts heat and, at the same time, I’m happy we settled in Downeast Maine four years ago. Today’s spring snow (although deer ticks were on the move a couple days ago as well)
Nice try Donnie having ur Sycophant Todd Blanche saying that the IRS can never ever audit you or ur crime syndicate family again 👇👇👇👇
If Coloradans could unionize fairly and freely, there’d be $6 billion in the pockets of workers instead of the pockets of large corporations. #CoPolitics #coleg
🫛Give PEAS a chance! 🫛 It’s pea-powered, climate-positive gin! @hutton.ac.uk’s Dr Pete Ianetta saves the world one gin at a time! Discover sustainable distilling as Quantum Sauce does #WorldGinDay at #Farsley @oldwoollen.bsky.social! June 11th, tickets at oldwoollen.seetickets.com/event/the-qu...
If you believe in the rule of law, everybody has an opportunity to heard, defended, and participate. Celebrate Law Day (today!) by watching our conversation with @keepourrepublic.bsky.social members Judge Cindrich and Gov. Corbett: youtu.be/6jiaFq9GEN8?...
My bill, the Free Credit Scores for Consumers Act, ensures access to free credit scores and credit reports and disclosure of how scores are calculated. A more accessible and transparent credit reporting system is essential to put Americans on the path to financial success.
"Do you realise you guys have just jaywalked?" The Crisafulli government has installed traffic lights & a pedestrian crossing for one residential driveway at Mermaid Beach. LNP MP Ray Stevens says it's for safety but pedestrians think the button is for the main road. #qldpol
No more “wait and see.” No more “let’s be polite.” ICE is escalating. Trump is enabling. We are not waiting for permission to fight back. This weekend — we show up. We stand up. We shut it down. #ICEOutForGood social.demcast.com/s/gEzZJde6
Palantir is the Big Brother Orwell warned us about. Listen: https://loom.ly/Kq5hBwI #oligarchy #dictatorship #dictatortrump
Post 1/6: A virus just rewrote its rulebook in our backyard. We weren't watching. Now it's teaching us what we should have known all along. 🧬🕊️ The H5N1 D1.1 story—a thread on viral evolution, surveillance failures, and what happens when we track pandemics with incomplete data.
I didn’t vote for the social media ban; the real issue has always been tech companies allowing harmful behaviour to run rampant on their platforms. But with the ban in place, the Govt mustn’t forget to ensure social media platforms also clean up their act. #auspol #politas
I highlighted the need for access to banking services in areas like Caversham and Emmer Green that have seen all the local branches close in recent years, and how this particularly affects older and vulnerable residents. I am calling for a Banking Hub in our community.
In Cuba, OCHA's Crisis Response Division Director, Edem Wosornu, visited a community project in Havana where community kitchens are a lifeline for many elderly facing rising prices, limited pensions and economic hardship. Continued support is essential to help the most vulnerable.
QUINTESSENTIAL TRUMP GRIFT—just like the wall Mexico never paid for, he’s sticking taxpayers with the ballroom bill. He shook down Fortune 500s for hundreds of millions; now, like his library fund, that money will vanish into his pockets. It’s public theft in plain sight—with Graham as the bag man!🤦🏿♂️
Amazon vs Starlink is a win for consumers. What does it do to the main business driver inside SpaceX? ▶️ zurl.co/fHGz9 #Starlink #Bezos #SpaceEconomy
There is no amount of fuel that can be safely stored at the Critical Energy Infrastructure Hub. We need to create a plan to cease operations entirely. I’m running for City Council because we need legislators who are prioritizing emergency preparedness and public safety over fossil fuel corporations.
Following a great throw from Daoud down the sideline, the defense holds strong to force a turnover on downs. Great plays against the run from DE Kenyon Garner and LB Hector Chavez (shown below). #FAU #CFB
With the hashtag #CloseYourEyesAndEars this is catching on. Ukrainians are following the example of the gymnast by taking videos with eyes and ears closed and using the sound of the Ukrainian air raid siren - let the world hear the conditions in which Ukrainian athletes train every day.
HP Elite 600 G9 Tower Desktop, Intel Core i9-12900K (16 Cores, Up to 5.2GHz), 64GB DDR5 RAM, 2TB M.2 PCIe SSD, Type-C, Wi-Fi 6, Bluetooth, RJ45, HDMI, 2 DisplayPorts, Keyboard & Mouse, Windows 11 Pro 🛒 Check on Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0DQ67BF9D/?tag=sersart2024-20
I caved and blasted through Edge of Fate on my Warlock so now it's grinding time. Running through Renegades and getting up to trouble all week long. If you need a bud to run shenanigans with, hit my line! #Destiny2 www.twitch.tv/moshpatt
I do pixel art and illustration, but I'm finding out just now that I can't upload both video and pictures on the same post 🤔
🚨 What makes DUI prosecutors go from calm to furious? 🎥 Former prosecutor turned defense attorney W.F. Casey Ebsary reveals the Top 3 Mistakes that can wreck your DUI case. Watch now 👉 dui2go.com/top-three-th... #DUI #CriminalDefense #FloridaLaw #DUIAttorney #LegalTips
At full Council I asked about the average cost of a pedestrian crossing, previously I've received answers from the Cabinet Member on a crossing not going in on Bridge Road prior to any larger transport plans, due to potential risk in altering it. I wanted to get a clear picture of that risk cost.
Do you think you might have IBS? Take our 30-second IBS test to find out if you should contact your doctor for more testing. ow.ly/iRy050zkJML%... #IBSAwarenessMonth #IBS #health #invisibleillness #awareness #guthealth #gicondition #badgut
This is what happens when people refuse to look away. Awareness turned into pressure, and pressure forced change. Today is a step forward—but the system behind it still exists. Support the groups doing the work, stay informed, and keep speaking up. #betterlifeforanimals #beagles
ICE Kidnapping: 3/22/26 -3:00pm Avenida Amorosa & Lomas Serena Dr Escondido CA #AbolishICE
📢 #labesanacex trae este sábado lo mejor del campo extremeño. ¡No os lo perdáis!. 👀 👇👇👇 🫑 Pimiento para pimentón 💦 Regadío de Monterrubio. 🧑🌾 Fertilizantes. 🪵 Investigación sobre la seca. 🍪 Las mejores perrunillas. 📅 sábado 🕐 12:55
☝️ THANK YOU 🙏 SO MUCH. I 💗 appreciate you. WITH SHARING OUR Change.org PETITION👇 "WE, the People," demand that Congress IMPEACH & CONVICT morally depraved & mentally unfit “Above the Law" wannabe King #Trump www.change.org/p/please-sig... #StrongerTogether #UNITEDWeStand #BlueCrew
Cool little conference demo #psynom24 Come challenge us to see what's possible in @psychopy.bsky.social This demo someone asked "can I have an experiment where someone draws on the screen then a cursor plays back the movement. Is it possible?" YES.
Making sure Indigenous people don't get in the way. Just a few hours after the Goori Camp Embassy was removed in darkness by police, Queensland Premier David Crisafulli falsely claims Barrambin was a golf course for most of its life. #qldpol
Inti Creates announced Gunvolt Chronicles Luminous Avenger iX 3 for Switch 2 and PC. Release date is 2027.
Seven Delaware districts held school board elections Tuesday, and in races that can determine students' scholastic outcomes, voters often opted for transparency-minded newcomers over incumbents. More from the polls, here: https://ow.ly/CQKh50YZ34a
Grateful for the support and trust of some of our country and state’s most dedicated leaders in my campaign for treasurer!
🔥David Shoebridge says Israel has shown “absolute, complete contempt” despite Albo having already raised concerns about Israel’s bulldozing of Aus War Graves with President Herzog in Feb after new evidence shows they’ve “bulldozed the same cemetery just 2 months later”💥 #auspol
Talarico: We have a government of, by, and for the billionaires. Those billionaires buy politicians like Ken Paxton. And then those puppets turn around and rig the rules of the economy in favor of those billionaires at our expense.
Evidence is mounting that the 2026 election will be a "blue wave." In North Carolina, the generic ballot average currently sits around D+4 - and there's still five months before the election. Try it out for yourself: https://carolinaforward.org/news/2026-shift/
The world and especially #BillionairesForBallrooms Big-Media #EpsteinClass have seen DHS ICE leader Mullin in action before his disastrous oversight hearings. Those like #MorningJoe 'ScaredBro' Scarborough looked away, and now praise his work as if it is something to be better than 'Dog Gone' Noem.
Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D-NJ) on building bipartisanship in Congress, just now on 535. Watch the show live at 535.news.
The Integrity Foundation’s Build Day in Utah brought together hundreds of volunteers to transform a 40-year-old park into a safe, modern and accessible space for families! Learn more: bit.ly/4einD3a #Announcement #Integrity #IntegrityFoundation #ForTheGoodDaysAhead #PuttingPeopleFirst