I regret to inform the junior coders that I, an economist with Wi-Fi, have gone on a Claude code bender. Great for productivity. Slightly less great if you’re the young worker trying to get a foot in the door.

Two things can be true at once: private credit isn't identical to 2008-era shadow banking, and some of the same vulnerabilities may be creeping back. Similar enough to inspect closely.

One more sleep until I can tell you what I've been working on. Can't wait.

AI isn’t the whole story, but it matters. Some sectors are still doing very well, and markets are weighted toward firms whose profits may hold up or improve. The economy is broader than one headline.

Think of an oil shock like a stone tossed in a pond. First splash: gasoline. Then the ripples: airfares, delivery costs, packaging, groceries, construction materials.⁣ ⁣ The ripples are real. Just give them a moment to spread.

Right now, the AI boom mostly shows up as investment: chips, data centers, infrastructure. ⁣ ⁣ The real question is whether those foundations eventually help workers and firms do more with less.

“He failed to understand the interconnectedness of the world economy.” ⁣ ⁣ That was true in the trade war, and it’s true now.

Why do economists obsess over uncertainty? Because waiting is easy. If the news might clear soon, firms delay big irreversible decisions. Multiply that across the economy and growth softens.

Kevin Warsh once argued for rates that were too high for the economy, and he now seems politically reluctant to contradict Trump. That's a worrying combo.⁣ ⁣ We'll find out soon enough which one shows up to work.

Why oil? Because worsening war news tends to threaten energy supply. That pushes oil prices up. So rising oil isn’t just about petrol; it’s a signal about geopolitical risk hitting the global economy.

Ivory Liquid Dish Soap Demo Commercial Recorded May 14, 1995 on WDIV/NBC 4 in Detroit, MI #commercial #advertising #dishsoap #cleaningproducts #restaurant #IvoryLiquid #NBC

@sciencenewsroom-ug.bsky.social What IS TIME - REALLY? - WE ARE LIVING IN PERPENDICULAR TIMES - Time Waves come in at right angles - A New Reality - Pls Retweet-RePost-Review - Amazon.com #books #science

𝑯𝒂𝒑𝒑𝒚 𝑳𝒖𝒏𝒂𝒓 𝑵𝒆𝒘 𝒀𝒆𝒂𝒓! 🎆 2️⃣ 0️⃣ 2️⃣ 3️⃣ 𝒊𝒔 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝒚𝒆𝒂𝒓 𝒐𝒇 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝒘𝒂𝒕𝒆𝒓 𝒓𝒂𝒃𝒃𝒊𝒕! 兔 Rabbits are a symbol of longevity, peace, and prosperity; as such, this lunar new year is predicted to be full of 𝓱𝓸𝓹𝓮. Wishing you health, good fortune, and happiness in

The International Court of Justice Declared That it has the Jurisdiction to Put Israel on Trial.

I joined @seiu.org to protest Republicans' latest reconciliation bill which includes $350 billion more for Trump's immigration enforcement machine. Democrats have been successful in withholding funding for ICE, so Republicans are trying to abuse the reconciliation process to push ICE $ through.

Are you wanting to learn about government contracting? All THE LINKS ARE ON MY PAGE! #Money #samstream #smallbusiness #governmentcontracting #samgov Samstream.ai

BLUESKY’S FAVORITE ANTIFA TERRORIST the M0N5T3R 5H0UT3R is Curious if anyone would be interested in me doing a live stream? Where anyone can ask me about anything I have talked about in my videos

Meet the bacalls #YR

NordStick NordBar Preview: Single Leg Roller Can you believe how much this can replace? #homegym #garagegym #nordstick

Meet the Press: There's "8647" merchandise all over Amazon. Will you prosecute them? Todd Blanche: “Of course not. That’s posted constantly. That phrase is used constantly.”

Happy Tuesday friends 🤍🖤😽💋🤗🥰🐾🌹🕊🖤🤍

Japanese bbq is amazing #travel #japan #fyp #foryou #foryoupage #tiktokjapan #asia #anime #foodie #japanesefood #traveltiktok #asian #肉 #大阪

Jared Young 5th????

Arne Slot makes 4 changes to the team that faced Spurs, as Salah, Ekitike, Kerkez and Konate return #lfc #liverpool #championsleague #galatasaray #teamnews

While world leaders vote "Yes" for establishing a Palestinian state, Yonit looks exactly 20 years back for insights on promises vs. reality.

#photography Meanwhile in Copenhagen...

Stress shifts your thinking and puts your defenses up––stopping you from being understanding and more likely to point blame. Learn more about staying present with Will Schneider & Jon Macaskill on Men Talking Mindfulness👇 🔗 youtu.be/NUSr34vveqc?...

Canadian Children’s Book Week starts April 26. 39 creators. Endless stories. Check your library for events. #CanadianChildrensBookWeek #CCBW2026 #BookWeek

#AGenteTenta: "Meu perdedor favorito sou eu mesmo, qdo sei q tenho tanto potencial, mas estou tão exausto mental e fisicamente q mal tenho energia para sobreviver." Às vezes, parece q o mundo inteiro vive e acontece menos a gente. Pare, respire e dê valor às suas conquistas, pois td mundo tem. 🫂💜

It’s bubble time!! I’ve missed you guys!! 🍃🫧

The Colorado DMV says it is implementing new statewide security measures after investigators uncovered what the agency describes as “widespread, systemic fraud” tied to a Colorado Springs driving school. Tune in to KRDO13 at 6 and 10 p.m. https://krdo.com/livestream/ 

We bring you a new game every day and THIS is RACCOIN: Coin Pusher Roguelike - the most chaotic coin pusher ever 🦝 @playstack.com @raccoingame.bsky.social

Since the release of Volumetric Lights 2, Translucent Shadow Maps & Cast Direct Light are a big thing now in Unity, already available; don't look further! ► https://bit.ly/VolumetricLights_2 #unity3d #indie #indiedev #gamedev #madewithunity #indiegames #assetstore #unity #unitydeveloper #games

Busy working, dont have time to sit on social media making reels.

Have a cracking Christmas Zack. Amidst the diarrhoea of the HOP, you’re one of a few who has substance & offers us all some hope. The next 5 years are make or break for life on earth, let’s not forget that 2° means 2bn dead. Please chat with Professor Anderson & advocate policy for our survival.

Jon Stewart on the administration’s corrupt slush fund: “They’re gonna give it to people that sprayed mace at police officers and pretend they’re rewarding patriotism.”

Solitaire being one of the most competitive games out there obviously needs a stats screen and some graphed metrics. #godot #screenshotsaturday #indiegame #gamedev

Collectibles & Videogames Part 281 Kirby’s Adventure (NES / Switch, 1993/2018) Famicom Mini (2016) #fyp #POV #Gaming #Collectibles #GamingRoom #Nintendo #Switch #NES #Kirby #Famicom #Samsung #Divoom #Paladone

being an underprivileged black man trying to break into an industry that’s white and privileged

Happy Friday Dance 😁 #TGIF #friday #leggings #fypviralシ #reelsfb

Knew it off the bat

Ever scraped the last bits of rosin from your jars and made DUMPLINGS? Dabs & Dumplings! Boop. We decarbed the leftovers, deglazed with oil, and blended it right into the Sticky Icky Pot-Stickers (pg 106 in the cookbook) 🥟🔥 #edibles #potstickers Get my cookbook: amzn.to/40wZBKq

Cory Lewandowski may have set up a pay-to-play scheme inside the Department of Homeland Security. We are going to investigate and end this corruption.

Eid Mubarak!

This is on Gov. Sherrill, not so-called outside agitators who don't exist.

Breaking: We just opened egg #7 in our Epstein Files Egg Hunt and exposed Alexander Acosta's involvement in letting Epstein off with a slap on the wrist as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Florida! Source #EpsteinFiles #JeffreyEpstein #JusticeForVictims #TrumpCoverup #MAGAcorrupt

Watch the full episode: www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZyi... The F5 Project, which is facing controversy over its handling of finances, is a mature organization that ought to be making better decisions.

Tropes 🔪Insta-Love 🩸Second Chance Romance 🔪Touch Her And Die 🩸Why Choose FFM 🔪Friends to Lovers 🩸Who Hurt You 🔪Found Family Book recommendations | found family trope | dark romantic suspense | dark romance | romantic suspense | romance books | spicy romance books | dark romance novel |

Love this quote from AOC! She’s a politician who talks the talk AND walks the walk! We need more like her!

Becoming Torfaen County Borough Council's new Head of Pension Fund Management and Investment is an exciting opportunity for an experienced and credible leader to lead a dynamic service that’s setting a benchmark for performance. For more information, please visit www.faerfield.co.uk/torfaen

Жабоеды Парижа и окрестностей во времена смешения культур

Do you have 10th June marked on your calendar? Book your space now to attend our ASL & Technology Conference in person or online. bit.ly/4eDrKaI

On this day in 1999, Sami’s execution was underway. Lucas’s interruption helped make this scene an instant classic! #DAYS #DOOL #Lumi

🌙🎶 R&B THURSDAYS AT HUSH 🎶🌙 Smooth sounds, cocktails, hookah & Queens nightlife energy all in one place 🍸💨🔥 NYC’s top DJs setting the vibe all night 🎧✨ 📍 Maspeth Queens https://hushloungegarden.com #HushLoungeGarden #RNBThursdays #QueensNightlife

Watch as bees unite their efforts to tackle the cap of a honey bottle. Nature's teamwork is truly remarkable and sweet!

Spider-Noir S01 E05: Betrayal #ɴᴏᴡꜱᴛʀᴇᴀᴍɪɴɢ 📺

et l'Afrique, où opèrent de grands réseaux de trafic de drogue. En Hongrie, plus de 500 kg de cocaïne cachée dans des bananes en provenance d'Equateur ont été découverts. C'est la plus grande saisie de drogue de l'histoire du pays. La protection d'Orban serait-elle désactivée ?

6:05 PM: A heavy thunderstorm is developing right over Tulsa. Be aware: Storms like this one are capable of quickly producing downbursts as they bubble up and then quickly fall apart. Wind gusts over 50 mph could occur.