Trita Parsi
@tparsi
Israeli minister Ben Gvir says Trump's deal with Iran is "bad for Israel" and that Israel will not "allow" it. Let that sink in. And remember this clip next time someone claims that a factual conversation about the Israeli government's influence in DC is off-limits...
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Told @BBCWorld that a key sign that the US and Iran are close to a deal is that the Trump admin has spent the last 48h defending a potential deal. They wouldn't be spending any political capital defending a yet-to-be-secured deal if they didn't believe they were close.
Two weeks into the war, Iran is still shooting missiles that Israeli air defenses fail to bring down. This footage from NBC last night shows an Iranian missile apparently dodging two Israeli interceptors and then hitting Tel Aviv with a massive explosion.
From Netanyahu's perspective, a renewed US-Iran war is ideal. Particularly if the alternative is - in the midst of Israel's upcoming elections - a US-Iran deal that entails sanctions relief for Tehran.
Tehran has been under sanctions for 47 years. None of those sanctions has proven to be the silver bullet that would bring Iran to its knees. The only thing that has worked is the same disciplined, patient, and constructive diplomacy that delivered the JCPOA.
In this extremely sensitive stage of the talks, the last thing needed - beyond the exchange of fire - is rhetoric that pours more fuel on the fire. During the campaign, Trump showed great message discipline on Iran; that's what he needs to do now, instead of the below:
It would be bizarre if the US went to Islamabad insisting on zero enrichment, knowing Tehran would never accept it. Indeed, if the nuclear issue were truly the focus, it could never be agreed upon in a single round of talks, given its technical complexities.
Told @AJEnglish that the Israelis are driving this war right now, and Trump must retake control of it because Israel's interest diverges from that of the US. Israel wants to prolong the war to degrade Iran's industrial base - regardless of the cost to the global economy.
Told @cnn that Trump tying the Iran deal with regional accession to the Abraham Accords will ensure that the war continues. But Trump may be raising the Accords to bolster his pro-Israeli credentials and deflect from inevitable criticism that his deal is opposed by Israel.
Trump says he'll bomb Iran to the Stone Age and then the next President must bomb again. This is the Israelization of America's war - it's Israel's mowing-the-lawn policy This is precisely why previous Presidents resisted Israel's pressure for war w/ Iran: To avoid endless war
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