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Trita Parsi

@tparsi

Told @esaagar and @krystalball that Tehran may commit the same mistake as the US, overplay their hand, and seek Trump's humiliation. That would be a huge mistake. Both sides need to be able to put forward a credible narrative of victory in order to end this senseless war.

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On @Bannons_WarRoom, I argued that on several variables, Trump can get a stronger Iran deal than Obama's. Particularly if he lifts primary sanctions and opens the Iranian market to American companies. For average Americans, this will matter more than nuclear details.

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Finally, some honesty... CNBC: How do you see this war ending? WITKOFF: I don't know...

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.@AJEnglish asked me if Trump could have achieved the same outcome without war. What the war did, in my view, was that the US came to realize that war does not work and, as a result, the US needed a deal that ensured long-term peace. That's the impact of having tried war.

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Not sure why these networks invite me to do all these interviews on Trump and Iran, they should bring this guy on, he nails it in less than 45 sec :)

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Trump cannot escalate his war out of this war because Iran can inflict costly counterescalation. If Iran destroys the regional oil infrastructure, oil prices will shoot through the roof in an enduring way and cause global economic depression. The only way out is de-escalatory.

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First, Israel bombed a father and his daughter. Then, when the medical team arrived, they bombed again. A double tap. A war crime. Designed to maximize civilian casualties. That is, terrorism.

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The regional role in the US-Iran deal is astounding. 1) Many regional states actively helped reach a resolution. 2) Their support protects Trump from domestic criticisms and takes attention away from Israel's opposition. 3) The regional anchoring ensures greater durability.

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